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There is a free $ 5,000 sports betting pool for NFL Week 8. You have to pick each of the Sunday ATS games, and the higher you finish in the leaderboards, the more money you earn.
Let’s take a look at all the contests scheduled for Sunday, including my five personal favorites.
The choice: Tickets -11.5
Everything seems to be in favor of the Bills in this game. Let’s start with the obvious: they are a much better team. The Bills currently rank number one in Football Outsiders DVOA, while the Dolphins only rank 28th. It’s a big gap.
The Bills should benefit from this home game as well, and they have the rest advantage as well. The Bills were goodbye last week, while the Dolphins won’t do it until Week 14. They played in London just two weeks ago, so they’ve been traveling a lot lately.
Finally, Tua Tagovailoa may not be in the best frame of mind right now. The Dolphins have been linked with Deshaun Watson, so it looks like Tagovailoa’s days as the Dolphins quarterback are numbered.
The choice: Bengals -3.5
What could be better than playing against the Jets? Pick against the Jets when they play a backup quarterback! Mike White will be making his first career start, and he wasn’t good at relieving Zach Wilson last week. He finished with two interceptions averaging 4.13 adjusted yards per attempt, so he’s clearly downgraded by Wilson. The Jets offense was already the worst in the league, so that’s a scary thought.
That line goes all the way up to -11.5 Bengals on DraftKings Sportsbook, so they present a ton of value in that pool. Don’t overthink it.
The choice: Colts -1.5
The Colts are down to -3.0 on DraftKings Sportsbook, so we’re getting a touch of spread value here as well. That said, that’s not why I pick the Colts. Rather, it’s because the Colts are the better team in this game. Their record may not be as impressive as that of the Titans, but they rank as the top team in terms of DVOA. The Colts struggled through a tight schedule, but they faced tough teams very closely. They lost by just three points to the Rams and ultimately lost a 16-point lead in the fourth quarter against the Ravens.
They also match very well with the Titans. The Colts rank first in the league in fast DVOA defense, so they’re well equipped to slow Derrick Henry down. If they can, Ryan Tannehill hasn’t shown the ability to beat teams with his arm. Ultimately, the Colts should be able to win this contest, setting up a potentially exciting stretch run for the division crown.
Pick: Patriots +5.5
The Patriots appear to be one of the pointers’ favorite targets this week. They opened as an underdog by 5.5 points – which is what they’re listed in this competition for – but they’ve come down to just +4.0 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
The Patriots just demolished the Jets last week and they have another potentially exploitable clash against the Chargers. They’ve been football’s worst rushed defense by DVOA, and it’s the Patriots’ preferred method of moving football.
The choice: Vikings +2.5
It’s another that is just too easy to pass up. The Cowboys have yet to officially rule Dak Prescott, but it seems likely that Cooper Rush will shoot the start this week. The Cowboys are almost guaranteed to win the division, so giving Prescott an extra week to recover is the smart move.
With that in mind, it’s no surprise that the Vikings have moved on to three-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook. Once the decision to rest Prescott is formalized, expect the line to move even further in the direction of the Vikings. Locking them in like little outsiders in this pool is the logical decision.
Here’s who I’m targeting for the rest of Sunday’s games. Keep in mind that we are looking to beat the competition and move up the leaderboard, so I will be looking to gain influence on the pitch and knock the audience out in situations where I don’t see a huge advantage over the spread.
The Los Angeles Rams (-14.5) @ Houston Texans
Picks: Texans +14.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland browns (-2.5)
Picks: Steelers +2.5
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) @ Detroit Lions
Picks: Lions +3.5
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons (-1.5)
Choice: Falcons -1.5
San Francisco 49ers (-3.5) @ Chicago Bear
Picks: 49ers -3.5
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)
Picks: Jaguars +3.5
Choice: Buccaneers -3.5
Washington football team @ Denver Broncos (-3.5)
Picks: Broncos -3.5
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and I am also a huge fan and user (my username is mlamarca) and I can sometimes play on my personal account in the games I advise on. While I have expressed my personal take on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect DraftKings’ point of view (s) and I may also deploy different players and strategies than I recommend. above..
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